On the eve of his visit to Moscow, President of Belarus and Kazakhstan to communicate
with Poroshenko
Last night in Kiev planned talks with Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko, and today the Ukrainian capital visited by the president of Kazakhstan Nursultan Nazarbayev. It is known that Poroshenko invited both colleagues on 19 December. The agenda of the meeting was not publicized. But the meetings were scheduled at a time when the Ukrainian president said the need to cancel this week’s non-aligned status, as well as the intention to strengthen the defenses.
The first phone call on December 20 Poroshenko told Belarusian president: “On Sunday, most likely we will meet with the President of Ukraine. He called me yesterday and asked that we somehow met spoke on some issues, and I expressed his desire, because we have something to talk about in this situation ».
On the same day on the website of the Ukrainian president appeared confirmation of this information, as well as news about the visit of Nazarba yev: “Poroshenko invited Nursultan Nazarbayev to visit Ukraine on Monday. The President of Kazakhstan has accepted the invitation, noting that it would be a good opportunity to discuss a wide range of issues of bilateral relations, in particular economic cooperation and trade relations ».
Ukrainian experts noted that Lukashenko and Nazarbayev will visit Kiev on the eve of the planned for December 23 in Moscow session of the Collective Security Treaty Organization and the session of the Supreme Eurasian Economic Council at the level of Heads of State. Political analyst Paul Nuss said that the presidents of Belarus and Kazakhstan in preparation for these events are going to coordinate their positions with Ukraine. “The point of the existence of the Customs Union on December 21-22 in Kiev, of course, will not be delivered. But the beginning of the global negotiations, strategic planning disintegration of the Union is directly in the offi ce of the Ukrainian president, “- he said the Ukrainian media.
The head of the International Institute of Democracy Sergey Taran said, “Nezavisimaya Gazeta” that the processes that are now beginning to take shape in the Ukrainian capital, have a number of reasons. “This security issues: the experience of Ukraine, many were convinced that there are Russian guarantees. And economic issues: Western sanctions toward Russia could harm its partners, “- said the expert. He believes that it is time revaluation of values in post-Soviet space, “has grown a new generation of politicians and businessmen who are not nostalgic for the Soviet Union – they just do not know what it is. It’s a new time. Before our eyes, dies CIS ».
Taran said that the crisis is due to the fact that the participants in the post-Soviet associations originally different to be treated. For some, it was a way to leave without conflict, while maintaining economic relations, markets or financial support. For others – a way to keep its former influence in the former Soviet republics. “Now everything is falling apart. Sanctions for Donbass and Crimea made it impossible to continue to exist in the previous framework, “- he said.
Just last week, when informed sources told Ukrainian media on the preparations for Nazarbayev’s visit, it was assumed that the president of Kazakhstan may become a mediator in the relationship between Ukraine and Russia. As you know, Alexander Lukashenko previously provided a platform for negotiations to resolve the crisis in the Donbass. “However, the Minsk Agreement is not executed because the format was initially a failure: the parties lie to each other in the presence of a representative of the OSCE. Lie, because it takes into account the position of some LC and DNR, pretending that it is indep endent players. A lie the truth can not be built. We must honestly admit that this is the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. And at the negotiating table should sit representatives of Moscow and Kiev. Since the Russian side does not perceive as intermediaries representatives of Western countries, the services offered to Nazarbayev, “- said,” NG “last week, a source close to the Ukrainian authorities.
Analyst Chornovil at the time questioned the possibility of the President of Kazakhstan to establish a dialogue between Moscow and Kiev. “In order to become a mediator, you need to be strong and independent figure. And Kazakhstan, as well as Belarus, still was to some extent dependent on Russia. The fact that Lukashenko and Nazarbayev declare their readiness to play a role in resolving the crisis in the Donbass, shows, firstly, their concerns Russia’s actions; secondly, the intention to get out of control, “- he said,̶ 1; Nezavisimaya Gazeta ».
Political analyst Sergey Taran believes that such efforts may undermine the integration associations in the CIS, “Lukashenko returned the customs clearance at the border with Russia, and now translated shopping calculations on the US dollar. Nazarbayev Be careful. But the fact that Kazakhstan was given five years in prison mercenary who fought for DNR-LC, says a lot. Like the fact that Kazakhstan is now collecting humanitarian aid for the victims. And this aid in contrast to the Russian convoys will be sent to Ukraine in accordance with international rules. This – the details, but they show the emergence of a new geopolitical reality ».
The experts draw attention to the fact that Poroshenko invited Lukashenko and Nazarbayev in Kiev, preparing for Saturday’s meeting held in the Council of National Security and Defense Council (NSDC) of Ukraine. There was a speech on improving defenses. Some decisions were made public. In particular, the Secretary of the National Security Council, Alexander Turchinov said that in 2015 in Ukraine will be held on three waves of mobilization: in January, April, June. Will be resumed in the spring conscription. “We call on not 18 years old, and with 20. That is, the call will be subject to young people from 20 to 27 years. Children 18-19 years old next year we will not call on, “- said Turchinov, adding that the life will be half a year, and for people with higher education – a year.
Poroshenko, speaking at the meeting, said that in 2015 for defense Ukraine intends to send up to 5% of GDP. It is planned purchases of foreign defense products on credit under the state guarantees. What and who will buy – not subject to disclosure yet. But the purpose of strengthening defense Poroshenko said publicly: “We are doing the maximum to take into consideration including the possibility of resumption of int ense enemy attack at any time. Or a full-scale invasion of our territory. Military threat from the east (in the context of the speech – from Russia. – “NG”) remains a major challenge to our security ».
A military expert Igor Goat believes that solutions NSDC not show on the preparation of Kiev for the war, and that Ukraine is becoming “a normal state, caring for its defense capability.” “All the years of independence Ukrainian army systematically destroyed. And only now beginning to revive the armed forces. This is – the norm for any state. And in our territory are carried out fighting. Therefore, the government must plan for the defense, “- he said,” NG “. Goat doubted that the visits of the presidents of Belarus and Kazakhstan have something to do with the statements at a meeting of the National Security Council Poroshenko.
Military experts in Kiev dec lined to comment on the question of whether it is possible to establish new ties in the defense sector between Ukraine, Belarus and Kazakhstan. Unofficially, they noted that the main role in this theory can play a state – members of NATO. Ukraine has received from the alliance’s political and diplomatic support. “Such support, as well as economic cooperation program (after all NATO members – a strong state) may be required and other post-Soviet states. Given the situation, Ukraine could play the role of conductor. But the question is: why the President Poroshenko has not yet been signed by the Government filed annual national program “Ukraine-NATO” in 2014? And will such a program in 2015? Or – say one thing and do another way? “- Said,” NG “is one of the military specialists.
Kyiv
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