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April 27, Donald Trump won the primaries in Delaware, Rhode Island, Connecticut, Maryland and Pennsylvania. Union, which was announced the day before against the billionaire his rivals Republican Ted Cruz, Senator from the State of Texas, and John Keysik, Ohio Governor, obviously, did not work.
The favorite of the presidential race of the Democratic Party of former US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton won in four of the five states mentioned. Her rival, Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont, won in Rhode Island.
Clinton called the fight in five states fair and promised voters to move their “noble goals”. Trump was his custom accused all his rivals. Clinton – that she would not have gained so many votes, whether it is a man. His opponents, party members Cruise and Keysika – that their “antitrampovsky Union” – a sign of weakness and impotence
Unlike Clinton, who has the potential to become one. Democratic candidate at the party congress in July, Trump has not yet reached the same “point of no return».
Cruise and Keysik try not to let the billionaire populist, without a clear program of action, but who knows how start the crowd, I got the number of votes that guarantee his election a single candidate from the party. The crucial role played primaries in Indiana, which will be held May 3.
Cruise Keysika Union and the United States was seen as a last attempt to stop the establishment of the Republican Trump. However, the Union began to stagger a few hours after it was announced. Initially, Cruz announced that Keysik agree to send him in Indiana all the votes of their supporters. However, later Keysik passed back and called on citizens to vote in Indiana is not for Cruise, and for him. According to the governor, the agreement is only that Keysik not campaigning in the state. Most of the media considered these differences harbingers of failure “antitrampovskogo Union».
Go to fight some
Meanwhile, since the beginning of April on the election process started to affect other unusual factor. The political race entered Republicans – members of the US Congress. Speaker of the US House of Representatives by the Republican majority Paul Ryan has put forward an ambitious political program Confident America ( «Confident America”), which was presented as a healthy alternative to the presidential race between Trump, Cruise and Keysikom.
on Monday, the eve of the primaries, Ryan released the second promotional video of” Confident America “that many of the media was seen as a sign that he is prepared to put forward his candidacy despite the fact that the primaries are nearing completion, and the Trump only strengthens its position .
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«Opinion polls say that seven out of ten Americans believe that America is going in the wrong direction, – said Ryan on the background visuals, which showed the worst, according to the Republicans, Obama’s initiatives, including the Iranian deal and reform in the health sector. – OK. But our job as members of Congress – simply to say that we are as dissatisfied with this, like all the others. Our challenge -. Not to foment discontent and channel those fears, anxiety and anger into real solutions »
The head of the Republican faction in the lower house of Congress, 46-year-old Paul Ryan is considered one of the most influential young representatives of the conservative forces of the USA. He has already participated in previous presidential elections, even standing as a potential vice-president in the team Mitt Romney, the former governor of Massachusetts. Ryan has repeatedly stressed that he would not run for president this year
His decision to promote his own political agenda at a time when all the attention of the Republican Party should be focused on the primaries and presidential candidates, -. The main feature that “systemic” Republicans have ceased to hope for victory
«I would not call the situation the party crisis -. said” Gazeta.ru “Brendan Buck, chief adviser to the speaker of Ryan public Relations. – But someone has to promote real political agenda. It should not be associated with shouts and accusations »
According to Buck, Ryan program -. It is a collective initiative of Republicans working in the House of Representatives of the US Congress. Among other influential politicians who took part in the creation of “Confident of America” concept – the former speaker of the lower house of Congress, Newt Gingrich, has already completed a political career, but still active conservative political consultant
«Indeed, generally congressmen. do not put forward a political program during the primaries – says Brendan Buck. – But Speaker Ryan decided that now is a good time. You’re two years before the next congressional elections. If we explain to people the essence of their program after the completion of the presidential elections, we will have a little time ».
Youth against Trump
According to US experts, respondents” Gazetoy.Ru ” Donald Trump with his aggressive populist rhetoric may well be the single candidate of the Republican party. The results of the latest sociological studies argue that it accumulates the electorate, who previously did not go to the polls. A large part of these people – poor people, white Americans, who are attracted by simple solutions Trump, for example the construction of a great wall along the border with Mexico as the main measures to combat illegal immigration in the US
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Meanwhile, the so-called republican establishment, including among members of Congress is growing confidence that Trump has virtually no chance of being elected if he will become the single candidate from the party. His claims that many commentators have called xenophobic and even racist, scare off the masses of the electorate. During the final part of the campaign, when Trump will face the Democratic favorite (with high probability it will be Clinton), the billionaire could fail as spectacularly as he previously was the star of the primaries.
According to the analytical center Pew Research, against Trump plays and sociology of elections. In 2016, more than 20% of the vote will depend on the black and Hispanic population of the USA, as well as more than 30% – from generation millenialov (18-35 years). All these groups now apparently leaning toward the Democrats. These trends, according to sociologists, can play a crucial role in the final stage of the race.
However, as stated in an interview with “Gazetoy.Ru” Akram Elias, co-founder of Capital Communications Group, a political consulting, the main thing that brought Trump in the current election campaign – it’s fear, that all goes out of control the system policy
Trump pulls on his side a large number of independent voters. as well as those who had tried to avoid all elections. “Due to the rather complicated system of voting in the primaries or the Republican or the Democratic Party can not figure out which groups to vote for Trump”, – the expert added
In any case, Republicans in Congress to date. then hope that the next president of the United States will still Republican. Team Paul Ryan is confident that the Republican faction in Congress with their “Confident America” will be able to find a compromise with Trump if he will lead the country. However, Councillor Brendan Buck speaker acknowledges that while the party is no understanding that will bring in American politics Trump. “This phenomenon, at this stage it is impossible to understand or explain”, – said the source “Gazety.Ru»
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