Stratfor called the explosion aboard the most likely cause of the crash of A321 – RBC

Place the crash A321

Photo: REUTERS 2015

His report on the analysis of possible causes aviakrusheniya Airbus A321 over the Sinai on October 31 US private intelligence and analytical company Stratfor released Monday night.

«While we can not completely exclude the possibility of damage to the aircraft , such an explanation would be unusual, given the circumstances of the crash, “- say the authors of the report. Most aircraft accidents that occur due to equipment failure the aircraft occur during takeoff and landing, when enhanced mechanical load on board, they explained. “The aircraft is rarely breaks during the flight at an altitude”, – experts say.

In the event of equipment failure pilots liner likely to be able to maneuver and to touch with the ground plane flew to without any catastrophic consequences , experts say.

In addition, analysts believe it unlikely the version according to which the aircraft was shot down by rebels “Islamic state” (an organization banned in Russia) from the Sinai Peninsula.

“While militants in this area [of Sinai] was able to use MANPADS to bring down the Egyptian and a helicopter fired missiles at an Israeli plane, flight 9268 was outside the range of weapons “, – the report says. In addition, the document says, according to the first results of deciphering flight recorders, the aircraft was struck by an external object on the ground.

«Given the unlikelihood of alternative scenarios, it seems that the most likely explanation for the crash is the presence of an explosive device on board “- the authors conclude. According to them, an explosive device carried in hand luggage.

«Flight 9268 started at the airport in Sharm el-Sheikh, the level of security that is known to be very low”, – the authors of the report, recalling that security personnel of the airport “often took bribes” for passengers to pass control of passing inspection procedures.

Certain airlines, especially European and American companies require additional checks due to the increasing threats to civil aviation, however, Russian airlines tend not to request additional inspection procedures, experts say.

Stratfor offers not dismiss version rackets explosive device on board as the most probable, despite the fact that according to CNN, the remnants of explosive materials has not yet been found the wreckage of the liner. Detection of the scattered remnants in other parts of the ship has not yet been ruled out, according to a survey.

People all over the world mourn the victims of the crash of A321 Gallery The leaders of various countries have expressed their condolences to the Russians after the collapse in the sky over the Sinai Peninsula of the Airbus A321, the company “Kogalymavia.” His condolences to Russian President Vladimir Putin has sent German Chancellor Angela Merkel, President of Belarus Alexander Lukashenko, President of Estonia Toomas Hendrik Ilves, the President of Syria Bashar al-Assad, as well as British Prime Minister, Iraq and Israel and the US Secretary of State John Kerry.
 
 Tribulation and ordinary people. Flowers are to the Russian Embassy in Warsaw, Minsk, Tallinn, Baku, Astana, Dushanbe and Chisinau. In St. Petersburg airport Pulkovo bear flowers and toys. In spite of the difficult relations with Moscow, Kiev come to the Russian Embassy to express their solidarity with the Russians. People continue to come to the Russian Embassy in Cairo
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Earlier, Reuters, citing a source in the commission, which analyzed flight recorder A321, reported the first data decoding “black boxes”. According to Egyptian participants in the investigation, from deciphering it implies that the aircraft is not subjected to external influences and that the pilot did not report problems on board the Airbus A321 to the disappearance from the radar. The interlocutor of the agency declined to give other details. A source in the Ministry of Aviation of Egypt had previously said that the transcript recorders will continue.

Guide “Kogalymavia” stated that the only explicable reason for the plane crash in the air may have an external impact on the aircraft. “There is no failure, which could lead to ensure that the aircraft was destroyed in the air. In this case, [in the case of system failure] aircraft would collapse [only] from hitting the ground. A321 – a very reliable aircraft, automation will not let go to the big overload even at gross pilot error “, – said the deputy director of airline” Kogalymavia “for the organization of flight operations Alexander Smirnov.

The experts of the Interstate Aviation Committee (IAC) said Sunday that the aircraft is likely collapsed in air. Sources Tass aviation and transport circles reported that the ship could catch fire in the air.

The aircraft Airbus A321 airline “Kogalymavia”, carrying out flight from Sharm el Sheikh to St. Petersburg, crashed about 100 km from Egyptian town of El Arish morning of October 31. All aboard the 224 people killed. “Islamic state” assumed responsibility for the crash, but later the Russian authorities and the Egyptian security services denied the information about the involvement of terrorists to the collapse of the A321.

Sources: Flightradar24