Sunday, September 20, 2015

Early parliamentary elections began in Greece – Russian newspaper

Today, in Greece held early parliamentary elections, the results of which no one can predict. On Friday published opinion polls, according to which the two leading Greek parties – the center-right and the left SYRIZA “New Democracy” – gaining about 28 percent of the vote. The outcome of the election depends on political stability in Athens, from which in turn depends on the implementation of Greece, the agreement with the international lenders to provide financial assistance and, consequently, the fate of Greece in the euro area.

Today, from 7 to 19 hours 9 8 million registered voters cast their Greek vote at 19.5 thousand polling stations. Preliminary results of the expression of the Greeks will be announced on Sunday evening.

Although the choice of the Greeks represented the entire political spectrum, but SYRIZA and the “New Democracy “seriously compete for the leadership in parliament and the opportunity to form a government.

SYRIZA leader Alexis Tsipras had time to work as the prime minister of Greece the last seven months. During this time politician “evolved” from a populist who promised to curtail fiscal austerity measures, to break off relations with the creditors of Athens and to demand war reparations from Germany, to the realist, agreed to tighter credit conditions in Greece by the EU and the ECB for the sake of Greece in the euro area.

“Surrender” Tsipras to Brussels and Berlin cost the 41-year-old policy of unity in his own party – it split off from most of them share the most left-wing activists. Actually, it was split in SYRIZA, and the refusal of the deputies to support the policy of the party leader Tsipras was forced to resign and call new elections.

In addition, strongly sagged and ratings SYRIZA. So, if in the previous January elections for the radical Left vote of 36.3 percent of voters, today result in 29-30 percent is the “maximum program” for SYRIZA.

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The leader of the conservative” New Democracy “Vangelis Meimarakis, in contrast, not only managed to keep their voters, but and slightly pull up the ratings a pro-European party which won 27 percent in January. Meimarakis consistently accuses its opponent in the distribution of “false promises” and insists that work Tsipras as prime minister turned to “economic disaster” for Greece.

Almost all opinion polls suggest that the third most popular political force will be ultra- “Golden Dawn”, the fourth – the Liberal Party, “Potami” and split from SYRIZA ultra-left movement “Popular Unity” led Panagiotis Lafazanisa, openly calling for the exit from the euro zone and a return to the drachma, can get up to 5 percent of the vote. At about the same number of voters can expect and the Greek Communists.

Local analysts predict that the outcome of Sunday’s election will determine 10 to 15 percent of the “silent ones” and undecided voters. This is the number of respondents stubbornly refuse to answer question Services sociological research about their political preferences. Concerns about a possible low turnout forced nervous mainly Alexis Tsipras. The former prime minister of Greece paid particular attention to this issue during the campaign rally of SYRIZA on Friday, saying that “no one voice should not be lost” .

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“It is unacceptable that we have lost because of the low turnout,” – said Tsipras supporters.

In fact, in contrast to the rather emotional election campaign in January, when SYRIZA went to the polls, promising to change the fate of European policy, the current race has stood frankly boring. Even the last live debates Greek politicians have failed to attract much attention tired of endless choices of the audience: in 2012, the Greeks will vote for the fifth time, and this year’s suffrage Greeks already performed twice – January 25 passed the previous pre-term elections on 5 July held a referendum ultimatum creditors.

It is noteworthy, apathy in the society affected even traditionally politically active Greek youth.

“In the last election I Volunteering helped SYRIZA, handing out leaflets, campaigned on the streets – says” RG “27-year-old Evangelos Gavalas – but not only this time. It dawned on me that the fate of Greece, has long been determined not by our voices. Want in Berlin to leave us in the eurozone – will use the euro, decide to throw out – will pay the drachma “.

Given the fact that the former partners Alexis Tsipras in the government coalition of the Party of” Independent Greeks “, according to opinion polls, will not be able to overcome the 3-percent threshold and enter parliament, observers are wondering how and from whom SYRIZA intends to cooperate in case of victory in the elections. Option interaction with the “New Democracy” Tsipras rejects.

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“The formation of a coalition government will depend on two factors: who will win the elections and get a” bonus “of 50 parliamentary seats and there will be “Independent Greeks” in the parliament. But Tsipras, in any case require a third partner, and negotiations with the parties, PASOK and the “Potami” will be very difficult, “- said” RG “General Director of the Hellenic Foundation for European Policy Thanos dokos.

According to the expert, not the fact that even a case of forming the SYRIZA coalition government, all members of the leftist Party will vote for the insertion government bills under a new “memorandum” – the agreement of Greece with creditors for a third bailout package amounting to 89 billion euros in exchange for reforms.

“We know that some members of this party categorically reject certain provisions of the program of financial assistance from the lenders. However, among the Greek political forces is the understanding that another election could lead to disaster, and I think they will try to avoid such a scenario, “- said Thanos dokos.

Indeed, the tightening of the political instability in Greece puts question the performance of Athens Hard agreement with creditors. It is known that the consequences Greeks in full felt by the beginning of October. In the fall of planned raising taxes, cutting pensions, raising the retirement age and cuts in many benefits. It is possible that in these conditions many potential partners Tsipras corny prefer to “sit” in opposition.

In this respect, commentators in Athens do not exclude that based on the results of elections on September 20 the cabinet will not last more than six months, and the Greeks, “tortured” economic problems and unrealistic promises of their own politicians have once again go to the polls in the spring of 2016

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